Author Topic: The Sixth Annual Arena Derby! Predict who will win! CLOSED (Read 1310 times)

ArenaDerby · « **on:** October 05, 2014, 07:07:56 AM »

Join us at the Ponyland Downs!

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Who is this year's Most Popular Pony?
[you], you and the Arena will help us find out!
(complete credit to GameFAQs and their annual character battle for the idea).

Here is this year's lineup.

Or you can download and use the spreadsheet if you prefer.

To help you make predictions, you may view the first round of races in advance in here

Race 01, Race 02, Race 03, Race 04,
Race 05, Race 06, Race 07, Race 08,
Race 09, Race 10, Race 11, Race 12,
Race 13, Race 14, Race 15, Race 16

Thanks to all who donated their photos!

The Second Phase: The nominating process is now over! Thank you kindly to all who nominated ponies for our Arena Derby. Now we come to the fun, challenging, but rewarding part. This year, I'm showing you how to do it, then explaining. Hopefully, the image makes the process simple to understand.

This will be a week for predicting the winners for all the races. This process will be done through PMs, and I will keep track of the predictions. Scores will be tallied based on how accurate your predictions are, and the amount of winners will depend on the amount of people who enter! (Anywhere between 5 to 15 winners, perhaps? I can't predict!

Look here for the visual guide!

Verbal instructions on how to make predictions

(small note: before reading, keep this simple phrase in mind - "pick two out of four")
Each day, I will put up a poll of four ponies to race each other, and the top two ponies will move onto a future race while the bottom two are eliminated.

Here is the challenge for you! Predict which two ponies will come in first and second in each day's race, in order. Fill out the brackets all the way to the final winner, using your best guesses. Earn points based on your accuracy, and potentially win a prize.

Keep this strategy in mind: don't rely on what you know are your favorite ponies - anticipate which ones are the collective favorites of all the members voting. It's a big popularity contest.

For each of the 32 races, pick the first and second place runners who will move on from each day's race in order of finish. For "Round One" of races, predicting each one of the correct ponies to move on to a future race will score two points each for the correct order, and one point for the wrong order. (For example, you think a certain pony will come in first place and it winds up coming in second. You'll still get points, just fewer of them.)

In each successive round of the racing, picking the winners will earn double the points of the round before. "In Round Two," 4 for the correct order and 2 for incorrect order. "Division Final", 8 pounds for the right order and 4 points for the incorrect order. And so on, doubling for each round.

On the picture of the bracket, you see the list of ponies in each race along the left and you fill out the lines on the right. The arrows and labels are there to assist. Each of the lines has its own number. Please send me a list, numbered 1 to 63, of your corresponding predictions. Thank you!

Go ahead and PM me with your predictions. The deadline is 7:00pm MDT, Saturday, October 11th.

Don't forget: This is not a contest to see which character is your favorite. It's a contest to guess which character is the favorite of the majority. It's all a big popularity contest, so keep that in mind when making your predictions.

NOTE: You don't have to make predictions in order to participate in the polling stage. You can still have the fun of helping our racing ponies take the lead by voting daily in each bracket. The predicting part is just a little fun contest to win some modest pony prizes, provided by me and some of the other, wonderful Arena moderators.

See the prizes in here!

Mirnyj · « **Reply #1 on:** October 05, 2014, 07:15:41 AM »

Squeeee! It's derby time again!!!

Griffin · « **Reply #2 on:** October 05, 2014, 08:22:06 AM »

I had so much fun making predictions last year!

Mkia · « **Reply #3 on:** October 05, 2014, 09:11:46 AM »

Fun! I'll need to start making some predictions

BlackCurtains · « **Reply #4 on:** October 05, 2014, 01:59:34 PM »

Derby time already? I missed nominations and everything! I'll try to get my predictions in. Maybe this year will finally be the lucky one

Ponyfan · « **Reply #5 on:** October 05, 2014, 02:45:43 PM »

This seems like a lot of fun. Do I have to use the spreadsheet to make predictions or can I just PM who I think will come in 1st and 2nd?

Ponyfan

Mirnyj · « **Reply #6 on:** October 05, 2014, 02:52:16 PM »

Quote from: Ponyfan on October 05, 2014, 02:45:43 PM

This seems like a lot of fun. Do I have to use the spreadsheet to make predictions or can I just PM who I think will come in 1st and 2nd?

Ponyfan

You don't need to use the spreadsheet as the predictions are sent via pm, but having to predict a total of 63 winners and runner-uppers I find it easier to fill them on the spreadsheet first.

Ponyfan · « **Reply #7 on:** October 05, 2014, 03:08:56 PM »

Quote from: Mirnyj on October 05, 2014, 02:52:16 PM

Quote from: Ponyfan on October 05, 2014, 02:45:43 PM
This seems like a lot of fun. Do I have to use the spreadsheet to make predictions or can I just PM who I think will come in 1st and 2nd?

Ponyfan

It's only my second time too, so I can promise you'll get a hang of I soon enough. Have fun!

You don't need to use the spreadsheet as the predictions are sent via pm, but having to predict a total of 63 winners and runner-uppers I find it easier to fill them on the spreadsheet first.

I think you're right about the spreadsheet.

This will be my first time playing the Derby

Ponyfan

LNS · « **Reply #8 on:** October 05, 2014, 10:21:01 PM »

This is always so much fun.

Enjoy watching this unfold and seeing who advances.

Marigold · « **Reply #9 on:** October 06, 2014, 05:21:48 AM »

I need to remind myself not to forget to enter! Is the mug one of the prizes in here? Because I want it more than ponies. Is that odd?

SourdoughStomper · « **Reply #10 on:** October 06, 2014, 06:16:01 AM »

Yes, there's a mug prize for this category, too.

flyawayraven · « **Reply #11 on:** October 06, 2014, 10:07:04 AM »

Woohoo been waiting for this! Hopefully I don't botch my spreadsheet this year. :p

LadySatine · « **Reply #12 on:** October 06, 2014, 11:26:18 AM »

I've never played before! I think I will this year.

Kiwi · « **Reply #13 on:** October 06, 2014, 01:13:28 PM »

Got my predictions in! I answered the survey that I thought a green pony would win, guess that was more hope than actual feelings - apparently I think a certain orange pony is going to win it all this year. Can't wait to see!

ButtercreamDream · « **Reply #14 on:** October 06, 2014, 04:46:46 PM »

Ooooo, got my predictions in on time for the first time since I joined! Those nirvanas are really throwing a wrench in the works, though. I know they are popular, but compared to common releases.... I have no idea how they'll fare. Thanks for running this again, Sourdough. It's so much fun every year, but I can't begin to imagine the work involved!

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